Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.259500 0.353865 0.458849 0.582116 0.720945 0.870798 1.043213
2025-07-13 0.148101 0.271223 0.426335 0.625110 0.864316 1.135941 1.461494
2025-07-20 0.095819 0.227758 0.411021 0.659963 0.971601 1.335448 1.780803
2025-07-27 0.069456 0.210198 0.422255 0.722930 1.109607 1.569288 2.139411
2025-08-03 0.046416 0.187745 0.420142 0.763523 1.216017 1.762464 2.447825
2025-08-10 0.024465 0.154981 0.396007 0.769679 1.275422 1.896400 2.684268
2025-08-17 0.005857 0.107982 0.338877 0.722545 1.260623 1.935421 2.803878
2025-08-24 0.000004 0.068893 0.282948 0.669072 1.231639 1.952491 2.893362
2025-08-31 NaN 0.047820 0.253257 0.650499 1.246464 2.022253 3.045042
2025-09-07 NaN 0.036843 0.241287 0.657958 1.296051 2.135613 3.249897
2025-09-14 NaN 0.025244 0.222268 0.651155 1.323883 2.219800 3.417749
2025-09-21 NaN 0.014777 0.198978 0.633857 1.334711 2.280516 3.555300
2025-09-28 NaN 0.012744 0.204445 0.670527 1.428609 2.456142 3.844705
2025-10-05 NaN 0.011684 0.213589 0.714656 1.534747 2.649612 4.158824
2025-10-12 NaN 0.010149 0.219643 0.752630 1.631424 2.830224 4.456368
2025-10-19 NaN 0.011723 0.240953 0.819848 1.772259 3.070166 4.829693
2025-10-26 NaN 0.010818 0.249773 0.863240 1.877401 3.262556 5.142841
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006864 0.239773 0.869794 1.926759 3.380179 5.360944
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001328 0.202700 0.819474 1.887723 3.377697 5.424977
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.165424 0.762260 1.834510 3.353635 5.459457
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.147188 0.742356 1.837718 3.405064 5.589707
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.141612 0.750352 1.885117 3.517217 5.798539
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.130200 0.743059 1.907139 3.593833 5.960966